Way back on Day 1, within an hour of the housemates first entering the house, I tried predicting the order they would leave. My order was Ahmed, Michelle, Jason, Kitten, Nadia, Stuart, Dan, Vanessa, Victor, Marco, Emma, Shell. It made sense at the time. Ahmed would be a bigot, Michelle would be a cow, Jason would be too vain, Kitten would get herself in trouble, Nadia would be unmasked, Stuart would be excessively smug, Dan would go unnoticed, Vanessa couldn't survive to the end, Victor would be entertaining for a while, Marco would be amusing for longer, Emma would be even more hilarious and Shell would be perfectly nice and nicely perfect. Not quite the way it turned out, was it?
The actual eviction order was Kitten, Emma, Vanessa, Marco, Ahmed, Victor, Michelle, Stuart, Shell, Dan, Jason, Nadia. Kitten couldn't follow any rules, Emma's mouth was bigger than her brain, Vanessa was rapidly ditched, Marco's seal impersonation annoyed the nation, Ahmed lasted far longer than he should have, Victor put his foot firmly in his mouth, Michelle's bunny-boiler tendencies took a few weeks to show, Stuart was totally inoffensive, Shell wasn't quite lovely enough, Dan turned out to be the perfect mediator, Jason wasn't up for nomination early and Nadia was firmly clasped to the UK's collective bosom. How wrong was I?
Very wrong as it turns out. I know because I checked. I used Spearman's rank correlation coefficient (bet you've not used that since school) to calculate just how wrong I was to three decimal places. And my predictions scored -0.175, which is a negative correlation, which is nearer to the reverse order than the correct order, which is rubbish. It may not be statistically significant but it is rubbish. I'm very pleased to be wrong though, and congratulations to the British public for getting it (mostly) right.
Big Brother 5 (it's over)
