diamond geezer

 Thursday, May 04, 2023

From today you'll only be allowed to vote if you have photo ID. Be it local council elections, Parliamentary elections, mayoral elections, referendums or police and crime commissioner elections you'll no longer be able to walk into a polling station and claim to be yourself unless you have photo backup, else you'll be turned away. Some people think this is a good thing. They are wrong, it's cynical disenfranchisement pure and simple.

It's all because the government passed the Elections Bill 2022 into law last year which, amongst other things, requires voter ID in all future elections. Only parish council elections are exempt, where the risk of electoral fraud is presumably deemed acceptable.

It's been a long time coming. The proposal first appeared in the 2015 Conservative manifesto, but only to “consider insisting on proof of ID to vote”. Things stepped up in their 2017 manifesto with an intention to "legislate to ensure that a form of identification must be presented before voting". They upped the stakes further in 2019 promising "We will protect the integrity of our democracy by introducing identification to vote at polling stations." Note there was still no mention of photo ID because that was never a given. But while the nation was rightly much more concerned about whether the victor should be Boris or Jeremy, this plan was quietly slipping in underneath.

The reason given has always been the prevention of electoral fraud. Previously anyone could walk into any polling station, claim to be anyone and cast a fraudulent vote. It sounds plausibly destabilising when put like that, the scope for mischief, shenanigans and deceitful ballot-rigging plain to see. The reality however is that people don't generally enact worst-case scenarios, indeed electoral fraud occurs on a frankly minimal scale.



That's 119 allegations of personation in elections over a seven year period, of which nine led to a caution and three to a conviction. You are more likely to be struck by lightning than convicted of electoral fraud. However a lot of people think significant electoral fraud exists, and elections rely on trust, so the government's been able to argue that voter ID is a necessary boon.

And that's photographic voter ID, because the government could have chosen to go with a softer option like turning up with a polling card or waving a utility bill but chose not to. They even ran trials of different requirements in advance to see what happened. In 2018 they ran a pilot in Bromley, Gosport, Swindon, Woking and Watford, five areas not entirely representative of the wider country, so insufficient to draw full conclusions. In 2019 they expanded the pilot to ten local authorities and trialled three different options.
• in two areas people had to show a specified form of photo ID
• in five areas they could choose to show either a specified form of photo ID or two pieces of specified non-photo ID
• in three areas people could show either their poll card or a specified form of photo ID.
Only two of the ten areas trialled the most draconian requirements, the system we've now ended up with, those locations being Woking and Pendle. In Woking, who'd been part of the previous trial, 87 were initially refused a ballot paper of whom 22 never returned to cast a vote. In Pendle the number of non-returnees was 101 out of 284, that's 0.7% of all those who turned up. And while 0.7% might sound small that's easily sufficient to swing the result in certain close-run contests, which could then be enough to change who runs the council. It probably won't change yours, but with thousands of wards and hundreds of constituencies nationwide it's going to change someone's, especially in areas where photo ID isn't ubiquitous.

Acceptable photo ID now includes...
• a passport
• a driving licence
• a concessionary photo travel pass
• a Blue Badge scheme card
• a national identity card issued by an EEA state
The government did some research and estimated that 92% of the electorate have at least one of the above. People who don't drive, don't go abroad and aren't old enough to have a bus pass are plainly at a disadvantage. For example latest figures show three-quarters of white people have a full driving licence but only 60% of Asian and mixed-race people and 50% of black people do, while the younger you are the less likely you are to have passed your test. Student passes also aren't included in the list whereas multiple cards for pensioners are.

Because of these gaps there's one additional form of acceptable ID...
• A free Voter Authority Certificate issued by a local electoral registration officer
Which sounds great - everyone who wants to vote can do so - except this adds an extra layer of friction in advance of voting. It's hard enough persuading many people to sign up on the electoral roll in the first place, let alone additionally remembering to send a photo to the council in advance. What's more you had to apply for a Voter Authority Certificate by 5pm on 25th April, i.e. it's now too late realise you might have needed one, so the disenfranchisement trap may already have sprung shut.

In an opinion poll released yesterday, 14% of those surveyed were unaware that photo ID was now required to vote. More worryingly the same poll found that 5% of respondents didn't possess an acceptable form of identification, a result that could scale up to millions of people UK-wide. That percentage rises to 11% of those earning less than £20,000 a year, which is disturbingly high, whereas only 1% of the £40,000+ bracket are without. Unsurprisingly this translates to 6% of potential Labour voters but only 2% of Conservative voters, and this perhaps is why the government were so keen to rush it through.

You can of course avoid all this hassle by applying for a postal vote. Fraud remains perfectly possible by post, indeed it was at the heart of some of Tower Hamlets' murkier electoral dealings, but that avenue remains open. Also the deadline for applying for a postal vote was April 18th so again this requires a degree of forward planning. Thousands of people across the country have woken this morning without photo ID, a Voter Authority Certificate or a postal vote and it is already too late for them to exercise their democratic right. "You could have voted" is no replacement for "go away, you can't".

And the government isn't intending to count how many people are turned away. Many polling stations will have official greeters outside checking that voters know the new rules, and if people turn back at this point they'll not be included in any statistics. The 2019 pilot schemes did note a drop in turnout in the affected districts, but this mirrored falls in many other areas, it being impossible to track the effect of one change amongst a multiplicity of other factors. Unless turnout properly collapses this year it'll be all too easy to ignore downward trends again.

If you dig back, the impetus to introduce voter ID came from a review of electoral fraud conducted in 2016 by Sir Eric Pickles. The same man who squeezed council funding until it squeaked as part of the Coalition's austerity programme also recommended the imposition of photo ID... who'd have guessed. But he only did that because, if you dig back further, the Electoral Commission suggested it. Because the push for voter ID actually came initially from the independent body who oversee our electoral process because they wanted to improve it.
"Looking ahead, the time has come for England, Scotland and Wales to move towards a requirement for voters to produce ID at polling stations. This would strengthen the system and bring Great Britain into line with Northern Ireland and many countries where this is already in place." Jenny Watson, Chair of the Electoral Commission, 8 January 2014
In 2014 the Commission conducted a review into electoral fraud vulnerabilities which concluded that polling station voting in Great Britain remains vulnerable to personation fraud. We see a potential problem, they said, so we should do something about it. In one respect the government have only taken them up on that, and run with it, and delivered. But they've also gone with the strictest possible version of voter ID, tougher even than the majority of US states, whereas they could just have plumped for allowing polling cards as ID and reduced the negative impact.

The Electoral Commission's original intention was to increase public confidence in the electoral system. Trust in democracy fades if the electorate doesn't believe the result is valid, as we've since seen amply demonstrated in Trump's America. But they acknowledged it was mostly a potential problem, and they recognised the need to balance inclusion and trust, and they spent most of their review considering how a Voter Card might work. Nine years later they've got their way and that Voter Card has finally materialised, but perhaps not with the high level push and publicity they'd intended.

If you're thinking you don't see what the problem is, that's probably because you already have some form of photo ID so it won't disadvantage you. If your confidence in the electoral process has increased, that's probably because you imagine electoral fraud is far more widespread than it really is. If you're in London or some other area with no elections you don't even have to engage with the issue until next year, by which time it'll already be an established restriction. And if you're a government minister you're probably delighted at slipping this through, gifting your party an edge in every future election everywhere. It'll pay off somewhere someday, even if not right here and now.

There was no major issue with electoral fraud. There are now a significant number of people who won't be able to vote. And parties with less-engaged, less well-off supporters are now permanently borderline disadvantaged.


<< click for Newer posts

click for Older Posts >>


click to return to the main page


...or read more in my monthly archives
Jan24  Feb24  Mar24  Apr24  May24  Jun24  Jul24  Aug24  Sep24  Oct24  Nov24  Dec24
Jan23  Feb23  Mar23  Apr23  May23  Jun23  Jul23  Aug23  Sep23  Oct23  Nov23  Dec23
Jan22  Feb22  Mar22  Apr22  May22  Jun22  Jul22  Aug22  Sep22  Oct22  Nov22  Dec22
Jan21  Feb21  Mar21  Apr21  May21  Jun21  Jul21  Aug21  Sep21  Oct21  Nov21  Dec21
Jan20  Feb20  Mar20  Apr20  May20  Jun20  Jul20  Aug20  Sep20  Oct20  Nov20  Dec20
Jan19  Feb19  Mar19  Apr19  May19  Jun19  Jul19  Aug19  Sep19  Oct19  Nov19  Dec19
Jan18  Feb18  Mar18  Apr18  May18  Jun18  Jul18  Aug18  Sep18  Oct18  Nov18  Dec18
Jan17  Feb17  Mar17  Apr17  May17  Jun17  Jul17  Aug17  Sep17  Oct17  Nov17  Dec17
Jan16  Feb16  Mar16  Apr16  May16  Jun16  Jul16  Aug16  Sep16  Oct16  Nov16  Dec16
Jan15  Feb15  Mar15  Apr15  May15  Jun15  Jul15  Aug15  Sep15  Oct15  Nov15  Dec15
Jan14  Feb14  Mar14  Apr14  May14  Jun14  Jul14  Aug14  Sep14  Oct14  Nov14  Dec14
Jan13  Feb13  Mar13  Apr13  May13  Jun13  Jul13  Aug13  Sep13  Oct13  Nov13  Dec13
Jan12  Feb12  Mar12  Apr12  May12  Jun12  Jul12  Aug12  Sep12  Oct12  Nov12  Dec12
Jan11  Feb11  Mar11  Apr11  May11  Jun11  Jul11  Aug11  Sep11  Oct11  Nov11  Dec11
Jan10  Feb10  Mar10  Apr10  May10  Jun10  Jul10  Aug10  Sep10  Oct10  Nov10  Dec10 
Jan09  Feb09  Mar09  Apr09  May09  Jun09  Jul09  Aug09  Sep09  Oct09  Nov09  Dec09
Jan08  Feb08  Mar08  Apr08  May08  Jun08  Jul08  Aug08  Sep08  Oct08  Nov08  Dec08
Jan07  Feb07  Mar07  Apr07  May07  Jun07  Jul07  Aug07  Sep07  Oct07  Nov07  Dec07
Jan06  Feb06  Mar06  Apr06  May06  Jun06  Jul06  Aug06  Sep06  Oct06  Nov06  Dec06
Jan05  Feb05  Mar05  Apr05  May05  Jun05  Jul05  Aug05  Sep05  Oct05  Nov05  Dec05
Jan04  Feb04  Mar04  Apr04  May04  Jun04  Jul04  Aug04  Sep04  Oct04  Nov04  Dec04
Jan03  Feb03  Mar03  Apr03  May03  Jun03  Jul03  Aug03  Sep03  Oct03  Nov03  Dec03
 Jan02  Feb02  Mar02  Apr02  May02  Jun02  Jul02 Aug02  Sep02  Oct02  Nov02  Dec02 

jack of diamonds
Life viewed from London E3

» email me
» follow me on twitter
» follow the blog on Twitter
» follow the blog on RSS

» my flickr photostream

twenty blogs
our bow
arseblog
ian visits
londonist
broken tv
blue witch
on london
the great wen
edith's streets
spitalfields life
linkmachinego
round the island
wanstead meteo
christopher fowler
the greenwich wire
bus and train user
ruth's coastal walk
round the rails we go
london reconnections
from the murky depths

quick reference features
Things to do in Outer London
Things to do outside London
London's waymarked walks
Inner London toilet map
20 years of blog series
The DG Tour of Britain
London's most...

read the archive
Dec24  Nov24  Oct24  Sep24
Aug24  Jul24  Jun24  May24
Apr24  Mar24  Feb24  Jan24
Dec23  Nov23  Oct23  Sep23
Aug23  Jul23  Jun23  May23
Apr23  Mar23  Feb23  Jan23
Dec22  Nov22  Oct22  Sep22
Aug22  Jul22  Jun22  May22
Apr22  Mar22  Feb22  Jan22
Dec21  Nov21  Oct21  Sep21
Aug21  Jul21  Jun21  May21
Apr21  Mar21  Feb21  Jan21
Dec20  Nov20  Oct20  Sep20
Aug20  Jul20  Jun20  May20
Apr20  Mar20  Feb20  Jan20
Dec19  Nov19  Oct19  Sep19
Aug19  Jul19  Jun19  May19
Apr19  Mar19  Feb19  Jan19
Dec18  Nov18  Oct18  Sep18
Aug18  Jul18  Jun18  May18
Apr18  Mar18  Feb18  Jan18
Dec17  Nov17  Oct17  Sep17
Aug17  Jul17  Jun17  May17
Apr17  Mar17  Feb17  Jan17
Dec16  Nov16  Oct16  Sep16
Aug16  Jul16  Jun16  May16
Apr16  Mar16  Feb16  Jan16
Dec15  Nov15  Oct15  Sep15
Aug15  Jul15  Jun15  May15
Apr15  Mar15  Feb15  Jan15
Dec14  Nov14  Oct14  Sep14
Aug14  Jul14  Jun14  May14
Apr14  Mar14  Feb14  Jan14
Dec13  Nov13  Oct13  Sep13
Aug13  Jul13  Jun13  May13
Apr13  Mar13  Feb13  Jan13
Dec12  Nov12  Oct12  Sep12
Aug12  Jul12  Jun12  May12
Apr12  Mar12  Feb12  Jan12
Dec11  Nov11  Oct11  Sep11
Aug11  Jul11  Jun11  May11
Apr11  Mar11  Feb11  Jan11
Dec10  Nov10  Oct10  Sep10
Aug10  Jul10  Jun10  May10
Apr10  Mar10  Feb10  Jan10
Dec09  Nov09  Oct09  Sep09
Aug09  Jul09  Jun09  May09
Apr09  Mar09  Feb09  Jan09
Dec08  Nov08  Oct08  Sep08
Aug08  Jul08  Jun08  May08
Apr08  Mar08  Feb08  Jan08
Dec07  Nov07  Oct07  Sep07
Aug07  Jul07  Jun07  May07
Apr07  Mar07  Feb07  Jan07
Dec06  Nov06  Oct06  Sep06
Aug06  Jul06  Jun06  May06
Apr06  Mar06  Feb06  Jan06
Dec05  Nov05  Oct05  Sep05
Aug05  Jul05  Jun05  May05
Apr05  Mar05  Feb05  Jan05
Dec04  Nov04  Oct04  Sep04
Aug04  Jul04  Jun04  May04
Apr04  Mar04  Feb04  Jan04
Dec03  Nov03  Oct03  Sep03
Aug03  Jul03  Jun03  May03
Apr03  Mar03  Feb03  Jan03
Dec02  Nov02  Oct02  Sep02
back to main page

the diamond geezer index
2023 2022
2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
2016 2015 2014 2013 2012
2011 2010 2009 2008 2007
2006 2005 2004 2003 2002

my special London features
a-z of london museums
E3 - local history month
greenwich meridian (N)
greenwich meridian (S)
the real eastenders
london's lost rivers
olympic park 2007
great british roads
oranges & lemons
random boroughs
bow road station
high street 2012
river westbourne
trafalgar square
capital numbers
east london line
lea valley walk
olympics 2005
regent's canal
square routes
silver jubilee
unlost rivers
cube routes
Herbert Dip
metro-land
capital ring
river fleet
piccadilly
bakerloo

ten of my favourite posts
the seven ages of blog
my new Z470xi mobile
five equations of blog
the dome of doom
chemical attraction
quality & risk
london 2102
single life
boredom
april fool

ten sets of lovely photos
my "most interesting" photos
london 2012 olympic zone
harris and the hebrides
betjeman's metro-land
marking the meridian
tracing the river fleet
london's lost rivers
inside the gherkin
seven sisters
iceland

just surfed in?
here's where to find...
diamond geezers
flash mob #1  #2  #3  #4
ben schott's miscellany
london underground
watch with mother
cigarette warnings
digital time delay
wheelie suitcases
war of the worlds
transit of venus
top of the pops
old buckenham
ladybird books
acorn antiques
digital watches
outer hebrides
olympics 2012
school dinners
pet shop boys
west wycombe
bletchley park
george orwell
big breakfast
clapton pond
san francisco
thunderbirds
routemaster
children's tv
east enders
trunk roads
amsterdam
little britain
credit cards
jury service
big brother
jubilee line
number 1s
titan arum
typewriters
doctor who
coronation
comments
blue peter
matchgirls
hurricanes
buzzwords
brookside
monopoly
peter pan
starbucks
feng shui
leap year
manbags
bbc three
vision on
piccadilly
meridian
concorde
wembley
islington
ID cards
bedtime
freeview
beckton
blogads
eclipses
letraset
arsenal
sitcoms
gherkin
calories
everest
muffins
sudoku
camilla
london
ceefax
robbie
becks
dome
BBC2
paris
lotto
118
itv